It’s most likely not the only thing they use to evaluate trade proposals, but they most certainly exist and are used. But he’s absolutely dominated left-handed hitters thus far in his career. His strikeout rate was an abysmal 15.7%. Way better than Latos trade! If he were a free agent and had the rest of the universe of teams to choose from, doubt he would have ended up signing with the Reds. He reached Double-A in 2018, but it was just for one start in Trenton. In 2017 he had a good ERA but his other stats do not back number up (lucky) Especially back several years where people were drafted 35 but paid 1st round money. You can follow him on twitter @dougdirt24, or follow the site on Facebook. It sounds like what happens every time someone comes up with a new innovative idea…everyone trashes it for the first 2-3 years until people realize it actually works. Too bad, I guess the Reds are still under penalty from the last all glove-no bat Cuban SS they signed that is still toiling away in the low, low minors. Gray’s got a rare combination of high ground ball rates and the ability to miss bats. As a left-handed pitcher it’s not surprising that he’s pitched better against lefties. That suggests that Gray might indeed do better in Cincinnati, where the media scrutiny will also be less intense than in New York. Do you think Hunter Greene and Shed Long have the same value as prospects? We clearly needed a starting pitcher more than a AA 2B. To me, the analysis should be that the Reds traded someone that they didn’t see as a future piece of the Reds for a piece that will be a future Red. Ken Rosenthal of The Athletic added the extension would "justify seemingly high acquisition cost for Gray.". It will be interesting to see who the Reds opening day starter is. 2019 should be a really fun year to watch Reds baseball, unless your into defense lol. In all, he is now guaranteed $38 million over the next four seasons, and his contract also calls for a $12 million club option for the 2023 season. Here’s a suggestion. I will rank him above Gutierrez for sure. I don’t think he will ever have much more than a cup of coffee as a pro. Hunter Greene is a 50 FV prospect, same as Long. There’s no guarantee he makes it to the big leagues, let alone an everyday starter. If you guys don’t think every MLB team has some sort of analytical method like this for valuing their players/prospects, you’re out of touch. I’m disputing that Fangraphs casts a VERY wide net over prospects and values all 50 FV the same, when clearly they are not the same. As a condition of the trade, Gray agreed to a three-year, $30.5-million contract extension with the Reds. And that makes their system meaningless. So basically Doug’s financial analysis using Fangraph’s valuation is moot because I’m pretty sure everyone would agree Greene Long. Plus with struggling in Yankee Stadium also does not bode well for pitching GABP. But in 2018 his ERA was higher than it should have been. Generally speaking, pitchers that move from the American League and especially the AL East to the National League tend to improve their numbers. While he’s not of no value, the surplus value is less than $1M. Honestly, I’m not even sure what your point is. The chapman trade had 3 players play in the majors for the Reds and the one who didn’t was the highest rated player that came over from New York. Approx 150 prospects across MiLB have the same surplus value attached to them, $28 Million. He was then extended for $30.5M from 2020-2022, and has a club option for 2023 at $12M. I read somewhere that the Yankees didn’t have room on their 40-man for Shed, so they traded him for someone they didn’t have to put on their 40-man.

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