Blake Snell 2020 Outlook NOTICE: No Bench Coach Discussion in This Forum. Snell is a good pitcher, but an 88% LOB% is absurd, and should always be expected to regress. In most years, the 15% number that Snell put up in 2019 would have been higher than average. Blake Snell Fantasy Outlook For 2020 Grey Albright Player Summary As someone who minored in Saberhagenmetrics at the Fantasy Baseball College of Charleston, I love the narrative that Snell’s terrible 2019 is going to help him finish top three in Cy Young voting in 2020. Marcell Ozuna, Freddie Freeman and the Braves will try to clinch Atlanta's first trip to the World Series since 1999. ... Blake Snell To Start Game 6 … Are you looking to contact Customer Support about a subscription or account related question? LOB% refers to the rate of baserunners stranded by a pitcher, HR/FB% refers to the rate in which fly balls surrendered by a pitcher become home runs, and BABIP refers to Batting Average on Balls In Play. Below the projection are actual stats from last season. He is projected to average 1.93 fantasy points. Disaster then (nearly) struck when Snell needed elbow surgery—luckily not the kind named after a certain ex-MLB pitcher—that put him on the shelf for nearly two months. Sure enough, his 4.29 ERA last year was significantly higher than the 3.31 xFIP and 3.56 SIERA. Rays 4 Astros 7: Was this the most painful Rays game you’ve ever watched? As someone who minored in Saberhagenmetrics at the Fantasy Baseball College of Charleston, I love the narrative that Snell’s terrible 2019 is going to help him finish top three in Cy Young voting in 2020. In 2019, however, Snell again struggled to find consistency out of the gate, suffering a fluke injury right when he started to get into a groove. In short, it seemed like a disappointing campaign, especially after the one that netted him a record breaking 5 year, $50MM extension in the spring. Snell's subpar season was limited to just 107 innings after he underwent arthroscopic elbow surgery. Runs On Turf Saturday During Rehab, Green Bay Activates Equanimeous St. Brown For Sunday’s Game, Sammy Watkins Ruled Out For Monday’s Contest, Buffalo Expects To Have Zack Moss Back Monday, Antonio Gibson Looking To Bounce-Back Versus Giants, Terry McLaurin A Solid Start Versus Giants, Logan Thomas Trending Downward Ahead Of Matchup With Giants, Chris Herndon A Low-End TE2 Against Miami, Matt Kenseth A Great DFS Selection For Kansas, Aric Almirola A Solid DFS Selection Starting From 16th, Chase Elliott Starts On The Pole At Kansas, Kevin Harvick A Favorite To Win At Kansas, A.J. Seasons like Snell’s 2018 just don’t come together that often. He allowed more runs, but either stayed the same or improved in some key underlying categories, also known as ‘peripherals.’ And since FanGraphs WAR calculation is FIP based, had Snell matched his innings total from ‘18, he would have produced similar WAR value. Player data for Blake Snell maintained by Rudy Gamble | Updated: 2020-10-17 12:04:40 EST, Copyright 2007 - 2020 Razzball LLC. While ZiPS is a little more wary on Snell in terms of volume, Steamer projects Snell to be a top 10 pitcher for the upcoming season: Since Snell’s skillset and run predictors remained intact in ‘19, we can reasonably count on him to be one of the baseball’s best starting pitchers once again in ‘20. ... 2020-21 Offseason Outlook Kansas City Royals MLBTR Originals. Further, his batted ball metrics tell a similar story: These are the questions we need to ask ourselves: was Blake Snell more lucky in 2018, or more unlucky is 2019? Hold on to your hats, friends, we have a game 7. Perhaps if Snell didn't miss about two months after surgery to remove loose bodies from his elbow, his ERA would have corrected, but it didn't have the chance. Regression was expected for the 2018 AL Cy Young Award winner as Snell's 1.89 ERA was lower than his 3.16 xFIP and 3.30 SIERA. Snell not only missed more bats in ‘19, he comfortably remained one of the best pitchers in baseball by way of FIP- and xFIP-. © Copyright 2010-2020 FantasyPros.com DFS optimal lineups by top experts like Mike McClure visit SportsLine's new Daily Fantasy Hub. His FIP and xFIP were roughly a run lower than his ERA, his 33.3% strikeout rate was actually an improvement on his breakout year, and batters continued to make incredibly weak contact. This is projected to be a better than average game with more fantasy points than he is projected to average per game the rest of the season. 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